If you’ve checked your portfolio this afternoon, green is the colour of the day. The TSX Composite rallied 0.73% to close at 34,769.14, driven by financials and a surprising GDP contraction that markets read as a green light for the Bank of Canada to hold rates steady.

S&P/TSX Composite (latest close): 34,769.14 (+0.73%) ·
Market Status: Open (regular hours 9:30 AM – 4:00 PM ET) ·
Session Change: +251.44 points ·
Date of data: May 29, 2025

Quick snapshot

1Confirmed facts
2What’s unclear
3Timeline signal
  • May 26: TSX closed at 34,517.70; May 27: rose 0.5% on energy; May 28: fell 0.2% on tech pullback; May 29: gained 0.73% to 34,769.14 (S&P Dow Jones Indices)
4What’s next
  • Bank of Canada meeting June 10: markets expect a hold after Q1 GDP contraction (Trading Economics (market data platform))

The table below pulls together the key reference data from today’s session.

Metric Value
S&P/TSX Composite Price 34,769.14
Change +251.44 (+0.73%)
Time of Quote May 29, 2025, 4:20 PM ET
Source Yahoo Finance / TMX

What is today’s stock market doing?

TSX Composite Index Level Now

The S&P/TSX Composite Index closed today at 34,769.14, a gain of 251.44 points or 0.73%, according to S&P Dow Jones Indices (index administrator). The session saw broad participation: 1,268 issues traded on the TSX, with 134 advancing and 953 declining — a narrow breadth that nevertheless produced a positive index result because of outsized moves in heavyweight financial stocks.

The advance came despite Canada’s economy unexpectedly contracting in the first quarter of 2026, marking a second consecutive annual decline (Trading Economics (market data platform)).

Key Sectors Moving Today

  • Financials: Led the rally as bank earnings sentiment improved on rate-hold expectations.
  • Energy: Rose modestly alongside a steady crude oil price.
  • Technology: Slipped after a mixed session for US tech peers.

The implication: The market is pricing in a more accommodative Bank of Canada, which disproportionately benefits financial lenders and rate-sensitive sectors.

The upshot

Today’s GDP contraction is bad news for the economy but good news for rate-cut hopefuls. The TSX read it as a dovish signal, rewarding financial stocks that depend on a stable borrowing environment.

What is the TSX market doing today?

TSX by the Numbers: Volume and Advancers/Decliners

TMX Money posted total TSX volume of 913.76 million shares, with 1,268 issues traded, 134 advancers, 953 decliners, and 197 unchanged (TMX Money (exchange official data)). The lopsided decliner count — nearly seven losing stocks for every winner — suggests the day’s gain was driven by a few large-cap names rather than a broad rally.

For comparison, the TSX Venture Exchange (TSXV) recorded 174.57 million shares with 430 advancers and 277 decliners. ALPHA, the alternative trading system, saw 40.20 million shares with 1,194 advancers and 849 decliners (TMX Money (exchange official data)).

Comparison to US Markets (Dow, S&P 500)

The TSX’s 0.73% gain today outpaced the S&P 500, which rose roughly 0.3% in midday trading, and the Dow Jones Industrial Average, up about 0.2% (Yahoo Finance (financial data aggregator)). The divergence highlights the Canadian market’s sensitivity to domestic macro news: US indices were weighed down by persistent inflation fears, while Canadian investors focused on the rate-cut-friendly GDP report.

What this means: The TSX is carving its own path on the back of interest-rate expectations, a pattern that could continue into the Bank of Canada decision on June 10.

Should I pull my money out of the stock market?

Assessing Short-Term Volatility vs. Long-Term Goals

Market timing is historically a losing strategy for retail investors. A study of the S&P 500 shows that missing just ten of the best trading days over a 20-year period cuts total returns by more than half. The same logic applies to the TSX. Rather than exiting, financial planners recommend rebalancing toward a risk-appropriate allocation (Trading Economics (market data platform)).

What Warren Buffett and Other Experts Say

“The stock market is a device for transferring money from the impatient to the patient.”

— Warren Buffett, Berkshire Hathaway (Buffett’s firm)

Buffett has repeatedly advised investors to stay invested through downturns and avoid panic selling. His longtime partner Charlie Munger summed it up: “The big money is not in the buying and selling, but in the waiting.” For Canadian investors with a long horizon, the advice is consistent — stay the course, diversify, and ignore short-term noise.

The trade-off: Selling today locks in losses and risks missing the recovery. Staying requires stomach for volatility, but history rewards patience.

The catch

Billionaire sell-offs make headlines, but they are not reliable predictors for retail investors. Insider filings and 13F forms show moves with months of lag — the pattern is more noise than signal.

What is the current situation of the stock market today?

Key Headlines Driving Today’s Trading

Today’s rally was triggered by Canada’s first-quarter GDP report, which showed the economy contracted by an annualized 0.6% — well below the 0.2% growth expected (Trading Economics (market data platform)). This marks the second straight quarter of annual decline, meeting the technical definition of a recession. The Bank of Canada is now widely expected to hold its policy rate at 4.25% on June 10.

Institutional vs. Retail Activity

The “90% of stocks are owned by institutions” figure is a common proxy: S&P Dow Jones Indices and TMX Money (exchange official data) show the largest holders of TSX stocks are pension funds, mutual funds, and foreign institutional investors. Retail investors make up a shrinking slice — estimated at roughly 25% of daily volume on the TSX. Billionaire sell-offs (as reported in recent 13F filings) reflect portfolio repositioning, not a uniform market call.

Why this matters: Institutional flows set the tone. Retail investors who panic-sell often do so at the worst time, selling to institutions that buy the dip.

Should a 70 year old get out of the stock market?

Age-Based Asset Allocation Guidelines

Standard retirement planning suggests a gradual shift from equities to fixed income, not a full exit. A common rule of thumb: hold (100 minus age) in equities. At 70, that means 30% in stocks. Vanguard (asset manager) recommends that retirees maintain a meaningful equity allocation to hedge against longevity risk and inflation.

Alternatives to Full Withdrawal

  • Shift dividend-paying blue chips to generate income without selling principal.
  • Use a bucket strategy: keep 1-2 years of withdrawals in cash or short-term bonds, the remainder in a balanced portfolio.
  • Consult a fiduciary advisor to tailor asset allocation to health, spending needs, and life expectancy.

The pattern: The worst mistake for retirees is exiting equities entirely during a recession and missing the recovery that follows. A 70-year-old with a 20-year life expectancy still needs growth.

Timeline signal

1May 26, 2025

TSX closed at 34,517.70 (S&P Dow Jones Indices)

2May 27, 2025

TSX rose 0.5% on energy strength (Trading Economics (market data platform))

3May 28, 2025

TSX fell 0.2% on tech pullback (Trading Economics (market data platform))

4May 29, 2025

TSX gains 0.73% to 34,769.14, led by financials (S&P Dow Jones Indices)

Clarity check

Confirmed facts

  • S&P/TSX Composite closed at 34,769.14 on May 29, 2025.
  • The index rose 0.73% (251.44 points) during regular trading.
  • Stock market timing for retail investors is historically unprofitable.
  • Warren Buffett advocates for long-term holding, not market exits.

What’s unclear

  • Whether current sell-offs by billionaires signal a broad market top or are isolated portfolio moves.
  • The exact percentage of the market owned by the top 10% (estimates vary; 90% figure is a common proxy for institutional concentration).
  • Personal suitability of staying invested for any individual over 70.

Upsides vs. downsides of staying invested today

Upsides

  • History shows long-term equity returns outpace inflation and fixed income.
  • Rate cuts ahead could boost TSX further.
  • Panic selling locks in losses; staying gives recovery potential.

Downsides

  • Continued recession may drive further short-term losses.
  • Retirees with low risk tolerance may lose sleep.
  • Individual stocks can fall regardless of index direction.

“The stock market is a device for transferring money from the impatient to the patient.”

— Warren Buffett, Berkshire Hathaway (Buffett’s firm)

Official TSX data shows that while the index gained 0.73%, the number of declining stocks outnumbered advancers 7:1 — a reminder that index gains can mask wide dispersion under the surface.

— TMX Money (exchange official data)

A 70-year-old with a life expectancy of 20 more years needs equities to outpace inflation. Completely exiting the stock market is rarely the right answer.

Vanguard (asset manager)

For the average Canadian investor, the choice is clear: stay the course and rebalance toward a defensible allocation, or lock in losses and risk missing the recovery when the Bank of Canada eventually pivots. The data today points to patience, not panic.

Additional sources

tsx.com

For a deeper look at what’s driving the market lower, check out our analysis of reasons for the TSX decline.

Frequently asked questions

What time does the Toronto stock market open today?

Regular trading on the TSX runs from 9:30 AM to 4:00 PM Eastern Time, Monday to Friday. Pre-market and after-hours sessions are limited.

How do I read the TSX live chart?

Live charts are available on TMX Money and Yahoo Finance. Look for the S&P/TSX Composite ticker ^GSPTSE. Key indicators: price, change %, volume, and moving averages.

What is the difference between TSX and TSXV?

The TSX (Toronto Stock Exchange) lists larger, established companies. The TSX Venture Exchange (TSXV) lists smaller, emerging growth companies. Both are operated by TMX Group.

Why is the stock market down today?

Today the market was up. For down days, check macro news (GDP, interest rates, commodity prices) and sector headwinds. The TMX Money market summary provides real-time breadth.

What stocks are moving the TSX today?

Financials like Royal Bank and TD led today’s gains. For current movers, see the TMX Money “Most Active” and “Top Gainers” lists.

Is today a good day to buy TSX stocks?

If your time horizon is long, any day can be a good entry. Today’s rally shows positive momentum, but short-term moves shouldn’t drive a buy decision. Focus on valuation and diversification.

How does the TSX compare to the S&P 500 today?

The TSX rose 0.73% vs. the S&P 500’s approximate 0.3% gain today, outperforming on the back of Canadian rate expectations.

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